Wednesday, May 7, 2008

WHAT NAFTA TRADE DEFICIT?

Some presidential candidates seem to believe that a substantial part of the three million manufacturing jobs lost since 2000 resulted from the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), and that outsourcing to Mexico and Canada resulted in a huge trade deficit.

Too bad they don't know that the growth in the deficit isn't due to manufactured goods, but to oil and gas imports, says John Engler, president of the National Association of Manufacturers.

There is no question that the imbalance of trade within NAFTA has grown since 2000, but almost all of the increase in our NAFTA deficit since 2000 has been in increased U.S. imports of energy from Canada and Mexico:

In fact, $58 billion of the $62 billion increase in our NAFTA deficit has been in energy imports.
That's 95 percent of the total increase.

Except for energy, our trade deficit within NAFTA has hardly grown at all -- only $3.5 billion from 2000-2007. Our agricultural and manufactured goods sales to NAFTA countries have just about kept pace with our imports. That's a lot more than one can say about the rest of our foreign trade.

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