Tuesday, March 11, 2008

HISTORY AND BEAR BIOLOGY SHOW WARMER TEMPERATURES AREN'T A THREAT

In early March, the polar bear could become the first species officially recognized by the U.S. government as threatened by global warming. The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) has proposed to list the polar bear as "threatened" under the Endangered Species Act (ESA) -- even though U.S. polar bear populations aren't declining.

Sterling Burnett, a senior fellow with the National Center for Policy Analysis, comprehensive research demonstrates that since the 1970s -- while much of the world was warming -- polar bear numbers increased dramatically to approximately 25,000 today -higher than at any time in the 20th century.

Research conducted by the World Wildlife Fund shows that of the 20 distinct polar bear populations worldwide only two — accounting for about 16.4 percent of the total number of bears — are decreasing.

  • Those populations are in areas where air temperatures have actually fallen, such as the Baffin Bay region.
  • By contrast, another two populations — about 13.6 percent of the total — are growing, and they live in areas were air temperatures have risen.
Evolutionary biologist and paleozoologist Susan Crockford, of Canada's University of Victoria, points out that polar bears have historically thrived when temperatures were warmer than today's -- during the medieval warming 1,000 years ago and during the Holocene Climate Optimum 5,000 to 9,000 years ago.

[I.e., they're not endangered now - but computer models say they will be 50 years in the future due to global warming. It never ends.]

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